Commentary
Quarter Ending September 30, 2008
For the third quarter ending September 30, 2008, the Matthews Japan Fund fell –14.46%, compared with its benchmark, the MSCI Japan Index, which declined –17.60%.
As of 9/30/2008, the average annual total returns for the Matthews Japan Fund for the one-year, five-year periods and since inception (12/31/1998) were -24.68%, -0.18% and 3.58%, respectively.
All performance quoted is past performance and is no guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate with changing
market conditions so that shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the return
figures quoted. Returns would have been lower if certain of the Fund's fees and expenses had not been waived. Please see the Fund's most recent month-end performance.
Fees and Expenses
Annual Operating Expenses
Fiscal Year 2007 (ended 12/31/07)
Gross1
1.23%
1 Ratio has been restated to reflect current management and administrative
and shareholder servicing fees expected to be incurred by the Funds and paid to the Advisor. Matthews Asia Funds do not charge 12b-1 fees.
In relative terms, the Japanese market held up better than many other equity markets around the world during the period.
A global recession obviously threatens the growth of the Japanese economy, and macro data has indicated a slower economy ahead.
However, there is one clear difference between Japan and other major countries, and that is a lack of leverage. Japan’s corporate
balance sheets and households have cash. Japanese companies, especially financial firms, spent years off-loading debts up until a
few years ago and now appear to be fiscally healthy. For years, foreign investors have been vocal about leveraging company balance
sheets to increase return on equity, but Japan has been very slow to accept this practice. Increasingly, mergers and acquisitions
by Japanese companies this year have indicated more of a focus on external growth. Ironically, during the quarter we saw some of
Japan’s major financial companies play a bigger role on the global financial stage: Mitsubishi UFJ took a stake in Morgan Stanley
and Nomura Holdings announced it would acquire part of Lehman Brothers. The acquisitions mark a notable change from the conservative
expansion strategies that have defined Japanese institutions over the past two decades.
Fund performance during the third quarter was helped by stock selection in the consumer staples and health care sectors. Our
long-term holdings in medical device makers Sysmex and Terumo performed well due to consistent earnings power and growth in overseas
markets. Both companies are positioned as mid- to high-end medical device manufacturers, which have traditionally been marketed in
developed countries. Our recent meetings with management, however, have revealed a growing need for reliable and safe medical equipment
in Asia and in developing countries elsewhere. We find this expansion very encouraging.
During the quarter the Fund increased its J-REIT exposure from 5% of the portfolio to 10%. We added a basket of smaller but
higher-yielding REITs with 8% to 12% dividend yields. After a research trip to Japan, we were attracted by the average dividend yields
of more than 6% for the sector. By comparison, the average Japanese dividend yield is 2% and the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield is
1.5%. The market has been severely punished because of the increasing risk of short-term refinancing problems in Japan’s real estate
market, and we do believe some weak real estate companies, particularly condominium developers, may undergo bankruptcy in the coming months.
In fact, following the end of the quarter, one of the smallest J-REITs failed. While this segment is not without serious risk, our
risk/reward analysis of the REIT sector overwhelmingly favors owning this sector. We believe J-REITs are a natural home to yield-seeking
retail investors in Japan as they were substantially invested in high-yielding bonds and some currencies including those of Australia, New
Zealand and South Africa. The tide has changed in the last few years for those who enjoyed yen “carry trades"—borrowing at low interest rates
in Japan and investing at higher rates in other countries—as interest rate spreads are declining and currencies have weakened.
Japan’s equity market appears to be more stable among developed nations, with a relatively strong outlook for the yen. As we reflect on
the state of the U.S. economy during the quarter, we find it reminiscent of Japan 10 years ago. It took time for Japan to come out of its own
economic downturn but now, well-managed Japanese companies look more attractive on a relative basis because of their solid balance sheets.
We continue to explore the best values in Japan for this Fund.
The views and opinions in this commentary were current as of September 30, 2008. They are not guarantees of performance or investment
results and should not be taken as investment advice. Investment decisions reflect a variety of factors, and the managers reserve the right to
change their views about individual stocks, sectors, and the markets at any time. As a result, the views expressed should not be relied upon as
a forecast of the Funds' future investment intent.
Statements of fact are from sources considered reliable, but neither the Funds nor the Investment Advisor makes any representation or guarantee as to their completeness or accuracy.
As of 9/30/08, Sysmex Corp. accounted for 3.4% of the Matthews Japan Fund, and Terumo Corp. accounted for 1.8% of the Fund. The Fund held no positions in Mitsubishi UFJ, Morgan Stanley, Nomura Holdings or Lehman Brothers.