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Risks of Investment

Regional and Country Risks


Overview

In addition to the risks discussed above, there are specific risks associated with investing in the Asia Pacific region, including the risk of severe political or military disruption. The Asia Pacific region comprises countries in all stages of economic development. Some Asia Pacific economies may experience overextension of credit, currency devaluations and restrictions, rising unemployment, high inflation, underdeveloped financial services sectors, heavy reliance on international trade, and economic recessions. The economies of many Asia Pacific countries are dependent on the economies of the United States, Europe and other Asian countries, and events in any of these economies could negatively impact the economies of Asia Pacific countries.

Currency fluctuations, devaluations and trading restrictions in any one country can have a significant effect on the entire Asia Pacific region. Increased political and social instability in any Asia Pacific country could cause further economic and market uncertainty in the region, or result in significant downturns and volatility in the economies of Asia Pacific countries. As an example, in the late 1990s, the economies in the Asian region suffered significant downturns and increased volatility in their financial markets.

The development of Asia Pacific economies, and particularly those of China, Japan and South Korea, may also be affected by political, military, economic and other factors related to North Korea. Since 1953, the United States has maintained a military force in South Korea to help deter the ongoing military threat from North Korean forces. The situation remains a source of tension and is currently volatile, particularly as North Korea has exhibited nuclear arms capabilities. Negotiations to ease tensions and resolve the political division of the Korean peninsula have been carried on from time to time. Recently, there have also been efforts to increase economic, cultural and humanitarian contacts between North Korea and South Korea. There can be no assurance that such negotiations or efforts will continue to occur or will ease discord between North Korea and South Korea or other regional tensions.

Military action or the risk of military action or strains on the economy of North Korea could have a materially adverse effect on all countries in the region, particularly China, Japan and South Korea. Consequently, any military action or other instability could adversely impact the ability of a Fund to achieve its investment objective. Lack of available information regarding North Korea is also a significant risk factor. Similarly, the tensions between India and Pakistan described below, which involve the threat of nuclear arms, could have a negative effect on economic and securities markets in those countries.

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Japan

The growth of Japan’s economy has lagged that of its Asian neighbors and other major developed economies for more than a decade. In response to weak economic performance, deflationary pressures, and its troubled financial sector, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) engaged in a strategy of quantitative monetary easing between 2001 and 2006. This policy allowed the BOJ to inject additional monetary supply into the domestic financial system after traditional monetary policies (such as setting interest rates) became less effective. Recently, indications suggest that Japan’s economy may be recovering and inflation returning. However, the situation remains uncertain, and Japan’s economy could be negatively impacted by many factors, including rising interest rates or tax increases, before the economy is on a solid footing. More recently, corporate protectionism (e.g., adoption of poison pills and restrictions on shareholders seeking to influence management) appears to be increasing, which could adversely impact the value of affected companies.

In the longer term, Japan will have to address the effects of an aging population, such as a shrinking workforce and higher welfare costs. To date, Japan has had restrictive immigration policies that, combined with other demographic concerns, appear to be having a negative impact on the economy. Japan’s growth prospects appear to be dependent on its export capabilities. Japan’s neighbors, in particular China, have become increasingly important export markets. Despite a deepening in the economic relationship between Japan and China, the countries’ political relationship has become strained in recent years. Should political tension increase, it could adversely affect the economy, especially the export sector, and destabilize the region as a whole. Japan also remains heavily dependent on oil imports, and higher commodity prices could therefore have a negative impact on the economy.

Japan is largely dependent on foreign economies for raw materials. International trade is important to Japan’s economy, as exports provide the means to pay for many of the raw materials it must import. Because of the concentration of Japanese exports in highly visible products such as automobiles, machine tools and semiconductors, and the large trade surplus ensuing from there, Japan has entered a difficult phase in its relations with its trading partners, particularly with respect to the United States, with whom its trade imbalance is the greatest. The export-sector of the Japanese economy is heavily dependent on exports to the United States and other countries whose currencies are tied to or that utilize the U.S. dollar for foreign exchange. Changes in the dollar/yen exchange rate could adversely affect the profitability and value of export-oriented Japanese companies.

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China

The Chinese government has been reforming economic and market practices and providing a larger sphere for private ownership of property for over 25 years. While these reforms are currently contributing to growth and prosperity, they could be altered or discontinued at any time. Military conflicts, either in response to internal social unrest or conflicts with other countries, could disrupt economic development. China’s long-running conflict over Taiwan remains unresolved, while territorial border disputes persist with several neighboring countries. While economic relations with Japan have deepened, the political relationship between the two countries has become more strained in recent years, which could weaken economic ties. Development of the Chinese economy is also vulnerable to developments on the Korean peninsula. Should political tension increase or military actions be precipitated, it could adversely affect the economy and destabilize the region as a whole. There is also a greater risk involved in currency fluctuations, currency convertibility, interest rate fluctuations and higher rates of inflation. The Chinese government also sometimes takes actions intended to increase or decrease the values of Chinese stocks. The emergence of a domestic consumer class is still at an early stage, making China’s economic health dependent on exports. The emergence of a domestic consumer class is still at an early stage, making China’s economic health dependent on exports. China’s growing trade surplus with the U.S. has increased the risk of trade disputes, which could potentially have adverse effects on the country’s management of its currency, as well as on some export-dependent sectors. Social cohesion in China is being tested by growing income inequality and larger scale environmental degradation. Social instability could threaten China’s political system and economic growth, which could decrease the value of the Fund’s investments.

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Hong Kong

Since Hong Kong reverted to Chinese sovereignty in 1997, it has been governed by the Basic Law, a “quasi-constitution.” The Basic Law guarantees a high degree of autonomy in certain matters until 2047, while defense and foreign affairs are the responsibility of the central government in Beijing. If China were to exert its authority so as to alter the economic, political, or legal structures or the existing social policy of Hong Kong, investor and business confidence in Hong Kong could be negatively affected, which in turn could negatively affect markets and business performance and have an adverse effect on the Funds’ investments. There is uncertainty as to whether China will continue to respect the relative independence of Hong Kong and refrain from exerting a tighter grip on Hong Kong’s political, economic and social concerns. The economy of Hong Kong may be significantly affected by increasing competition from the emerging economies of Asia, including that of China itself. In addition, the Hong Kong dollar trades within a fixed trading band rate to (or is “pegged” to) the U.S. dollar. This fixed exchange rate has contributed to the growth and stability of the Hong Kong economy. However, some market participants have questioned the continued viability of the currency peg. It is uncertain what affect any discontinuance of the currency peg and the establishment of an alternative exchange rate system would have on capital markets generally and the Hong Kong economy.

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Taiwan

The political reunification of China and Taiwan, over which China continues to claim sovereignty, is a highly problematic issue and is unlikely to be settled in the near future. The continuing hostility between China and Taiwan may have an adverse impact on the values of investments in either China or Taiwan, or make investments in China and Taiwan impractical or impossible. Any escalation of hostility between China and Taiwan would likely distort Taiwan’s capital accounts, as well as have a significant adverse impact on the value of investments in both countries and the region.

Taiwan’s growth has to a significant degree been export-driven. While the percentage of Taiwan’s exports purchased by the United States has been declining recently, the United States has remained a key export market. Accordingly, Taiwan is affected by changes in the economies of the United States and other main trading partners, by protectionist impulses in those countries and by the development of export sectors in lower-wage economies. In the event that growth in the export sector declines in the future, the burden of future growth will increasingly be placed on domestic demand.

The island of Taiwan has limited natural resources, resulting in dependence on foreign sources for certain raw materials and vulnerability to global fluctuations of price and supply. This dependence is especially pronounced in the energy sector. In recent years, over half of Taiwan’s crude oil has been supplied by Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. A significant increase in energy prices could have an adverse impact on Taiwan’s economy.

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South Korea

Investing in South Korean securities has special risks, including political, economic and social instability, and the potential for increasing militarization in North Korea (see page xx). The market capitalization and trading volume of issuers in South Korean securities markets are concentrated in a small number of issuers, which results in potentially fewer investment opportunities for the Funds.

There are also a number of risks to the Funds associated with the South Korean government. The South Korean government has historically exercised and continues to exercise substantial influence over many aspects of the private sector. The South Korean government from time to time has informally influenced the prices of certain products, encouraged companies to invest or to concentrate in particular industries and induced mergers between companies in industries experiencing excess capacity. The South Korean government has sought to minimize excessive price volatility on the South Korean Stock Exchange through various steps, including the imposition of limitations on daily price movements of securities, although there is no assurance that this would prevent the value of an investment from declining over time.

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Thailand

In recent years Thailand has experienced increased political and militant unrest in its predominantly Muslim southern provinces. While the unrest and associated acts of violence have been contained in the South, they could spread to other parts of the country, impacting the general sentiment as well as the tourism industry. Thailand’s political institutions remain unseasoned, increasing the risk of political uncertainty, which could negatively impact the financial markets. In September 2006, Thailand’s elected government was overthrown in a military coup and replaced by new leadership backed by a military junta. The impact of the coup and military rule on investments in Thai securities was initially negative and subsequently has been uneven. Following the coup, the new government imposed investment controls that appear to have been designed to control volatility in the Thai baht and to support certain export-oriented Thai industries. These controls have been revised and updated since their initial imposition, and more recently have largely been suspended (although there is no guarantee that such controls will not be re-imposed). However, partially in response to these controls, an offshore market for the exchange of Thai baht developed. The depth and transparency of this market have been uncertain. With the general suspension of investment controls, it is unclear whether this offshore market will continue. Accordingly, this market’s impact on the Funds is uncertain. The new leadership has begun the process of restoring Thailand’s democratic processes. However, there can be no assurance that this process will continue or improve economic conditions in the country.

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India

In India, the government has exercised and continues to exercise significant influence over many aspects of the economy. Accordingly, government actions, bureaucratic obstacles and corruption within the Indian government have a significant effect on the economy and could adversely affect market conditions, deter economic growth and the profitability of private enterprises. Large portions of many Indian companies remain in the hands of their founders (including members of their families). Family-controlled companies’ corporate governance standards may be weaker and less transparent, which increases the potential for loss and unequal treatment of investors. India experiences many of the risks associated with developing economies, including relatively low levels of liquidity, which may result in extreme volatility in the prices of Indian securities.

Religious and border disputes persist in India, and India has from time to time experienced civil unrest and hostilities with neighboring countries such as Pakistan. Both India and Pakistan have tested nuclear arms, and the threat of deployment of such weapons could hinder development of the Indian economy and escalating tensions could impact the broader region.

The longstanding dispute with Pakistan over the bordering Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir remains unresolved. If the Indian government is unable to control the violence and disruption associated with these tensions (including both domestic and external sources of terrorism), the results could destabilize the economy.

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Australia

The Australian economy is dependent, in particular, on the price and demand for agricultural products and natural resources. The United States and China are Australia’s largest trade and investment partners, which may make the Australian markets sensitive to economic and financial events in those two countries. Australian markets may also be susceptible to sustained increases in oil prices as well as weaknesses in labor markets.

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Indonesia

Indonesia’s political institutions and democracy have a relatively short history, increasing the risk of political instability. Indonesia has in the past faced political and militant unrest within several of its regions, and further unrest could present a risk to the local economy and stock markets. The country has also experienced acts of terrorism, predominantly targeted at foreigners, which has had a negative impact on tourism. Corruption and the perceived lack of a rule of law in dealings with international companies in the past may have discouraged much needed foreign direct investment. Should this issue remain, it could negatively impact the long-term growth of the economy. In addition, many economic development problems remain, including high unemployment, a fragile banking sector, endemic corruption, inadequate infrastructure, a poor investment climate and unequal resource distribution among regions.

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Philippines

Philippines’ consistently large budget deficit has produced a high debt level and has forced the country to spend a large portion of its national government budget on debt service. Large, unprofitable public enterprises, especially in the energy sector, contribute to the government’s debt because of slow progress on privatization. Some credit rating agencies have expressed concerns about Philippines’ ability to sustain its debt.

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Malaysia

Malaysia has previously imposed currency controls and a 10% “exit levy” on profits repatriated by foreign entities such as the Funds and has limited foreign ownership of Malaysian companies (which may artificially support the market price of such companies). The Malaysian capital controls have been changed in significant ways since they were first adopted without prior warning on September 1, 1998. Malaysia has also abolished the exit levy. However, there can be no assurance that the Malaysian capital controls will not be changed adversely in the future or that the exit levy will not be re-established, possibly to the detriment of the Funds and their shareholders.

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Singapore

As a small open economy, Singapore is particularly vulnerable to external economic influences, such as the Asian economic crisis of the late 1990s. Although Singapore has been a leading manufacturer of electronics goods, the extent to which other countries can successfully compete with Singapore in this and related industries, and adverse Asian economic influences generally, may negatively affect Singapore’s economy.

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Pakistan

Changes in the value of investments in Pakistan and in companies with significant economic ties to that country largely depend on continued economic growth and reform in Pakistan, which remains uncertain and subject to a variety of risks. Adverse developments can result in substantial declines in the value of investments. Pakistan has and continues to face high levels of political instability and social unrest at both the regional and national levels. Such instability has and may erupt again into wide-scale disorder. The Pakistan government recently imposed a state of emergency following riots and the deaths of opposition leaders. Social and political instability may also result in increased levels of terrorism, prolonged economic disruption, and may discourage foreign investment.

Ongoing disputes with India over the Kashmir border region may result in armed conflict between the two nations, both of which possess nuclear capabilities. Even in the absence of armed conflict, the lingering threat of war with India may depress economic growth and investment in Pakistan. Additionally, Pakistan’s geographic location and its shared borders with Afghanistan and Iran increase the risk that it will be involved in, or otherwise affected by, international conflict. Pakistan’s recent economic growth is in part attributable to high levels of foreign aid, loans and debt forgiveness. Such international support, however, may be significantly reduced or terminated in response to changes in the political leadership of Pakistan.

Pakistan faces a wide range of other economic problems and risks. Pakistan had undertaken a privatization initiative, but recently halted that effort. There is substantial uncertainty over whether privatization will continue and whether existing efforts will be reversed. Pakistan is subject to substantial natural resource constraints, which both hamper development and make Pakistan’s economy vulnerable to price fluctuations in these resources. Pakistan maintains large budgetary and current account deficits. The resulting high levels of national debt may not be sustainable. Pakistan also maintains a trade deficit, which could be worsened if relations with the United States, the largest market for Pakistani exports, deteriorate. The rights of investors and other property owners in Pakistan are subject to protection by a developing judicial system that is widely perceived as lacking transparency. Inflation threatens long-term economic growth and may deter foreign investment in the country. Leaders of the recently installed civil government have previously adopted policies that increased legal and economic uncertainty and inhibited foreign investment.

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Vietnam

In 1992, Vietnam initiated the process of privatization of state-owned enterprises, and expanded that process in 1996. The Vietnamese government has exercised and continues to exercise significant influence over many aspects of the economy. Accordingly, government and bureaucratic actions have a significant effect on the economy and could adversely affect market conditions, deter economic growth and the profitability of private enterprises. Some Vietnamese industries, including commercial banking, remain dominated by state-owned enterprises. To date, economic, political and legal reform has proceeded at a slow pace, and foreign direct investment remains at a developmental stage. Currently, employees and management boards hold a majority of the equity of most privatized enterprises. In addition, the government of Vietnam continues to hold, on average, more than one-third of the equity in such firms. Only a small percentage of the shares of privatized companies are held by investors. In addition, Vietnam continues to impose limitations on foreign ownership of Vietnamese companies. There can be no guarantee that Vietnam’s privatization process, or its efforts to reform its economic, political or legal systems will continue.

The development of Vietnam’s economy is dependent on export markets and is vulnerable to events in these markets. There is also a greater risk involved in currency fluctuations, currency convertibility, and interest rate fluctuations. Inflation threatens long-term economic growth and may deter foreign investment in the country. Like many developing countries, Vietnamese markets have relatively low levels of liquidity, which may result in extreme volatility in the prices of Vietnamese securities.

Foreign investors in Vietnam are currently required to purchase and sell securities of Vietnamese companies through a single, pre-selected broker-dealer. This procedure decreases transparency in the market, may result in higher execution costs and limits the Funds’ ability to utilize competition amongst broker-dealers to enhance the quality of execution. This procedure may also decrease the confidentiality of the Funds’ transactions, exposing the Funds to a greater potential for front-running and similar practices.

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